N'ọnwa Julaị, n'ihi ihu igwe dị elu na-aga n'ihu na mpaghara ndị isi na China, a na-atụ anya mmepụta owu ọhụrụ ga-akwado ọnụ ahịa owu na-aga n'ihu, ọnụ ahịa ntụpọ eruola elu kwa afọ ọhụrụ, na China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex3128B) ebiliwo ruo 18,070 yuan / ton. Ngalaba ndị dị mkpa wepụtara ọkwa na iji gboo mkpa owu nke ụlọ ọrụ akwa owu nke ọma, a ga-ewepụta oke ụtụ isi mbubata owu nke afọ 2023, na ire ụfọdụ owu nchekwa etiti malitere na ngwụcha Julaị. N'ụwa niile, n'ihi ọgba aghara ihu igwe dị ka oke okpomọkụ na mmiri ozuzo, a na-atụ anya na mmepụta owu ọhụrụ na mpaghara ugwu ugwu ga-abawanye, na ọnụ ahịa owu ebiliwo nke ukwuu, ma n'okpuru mmetụta nke atụmanya nlaazu akụ na ụba, enweela ọganihu dị ukwuu, mmụba na-erughịkwa ụlọ, na ọdịiche dị n'etiti ọnụ ahịa owu ụlọ na nke mba ọzọ amụbawo.
I. Mgbanwe na ọnụ ahịa ntụpọ n'ụlọ na ná mba ọzọ
(1) Ọnụ ego ntụpọ ụlọ nke owu rịgoro ruo ọkwa kachasị elu nke afọ
Na July, emetụta ihe ndị dị otú ahụ dị ka a na-atụ anya na-abawanye na mmepụta Mbelata n'ihi elu okpomọkụ ihu igwe na owu region na uko ọkọnọ atụmanya, anụ ụlọ owu ahịa nọgidere na-enwe a siri ike na-emekarị, na Zheng owu Futures nọgidere na-ebili ka mbanye anụ ụlọ owu ntụpọ ọnụ ahịa elu, na 24th China owu price index bilitere na 18,070 yuan / ton, ọhụrụ elu kemgbe afọ a. N'ime ọnwa ahụ, ekwuputala oke ụtụ na idobere iwu ire ahịa owu, n'ụzọ bụ isi n'ụzọ kwekọrọ na atụmanya ahịa, akụkụ a na-achọkarị adịghị ike, ọnụ ahịa owu nwekwara mgbazi dị nkenke na njedebe nke ọnwa. Na 31st, China owu price index (CCIndex3128B) 17,998 yuan/ton, elu 694 yuan site na ọnwa gara aga; Nkezi ọnụ ahịa kwa ọnwa bụ yuan/ton 17,757, gbagoro yuan 477 kwa ọnwa yana yuan 1101 kwa afọ.
(2) Ọnụ ahịa owu ogologo oge na-ebili n'ọnwa n'ọnwa
N'ọnwa Julaị, ọnụahịa nke owu ogologo oge dị n'ụlọ bilitere site na ọnwa gara aga, na ọnụahịa azụmahịa nke 137-ọkwa ogologo owu ogologo oge na njedebe nke ọnwa bụ 24,500 yuan / ton, elu yuan 800 site na ọnwa gara aga, dị elu karịa Index Ahịa China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex3128B) 6502 yuan, na ọnụ ahịa 10 gara aga gbasaa yuan. Ọnụ ego azụmaahịa kwa ọnwa nke owu ogologo ọkwa 137 bụ yuan/ton 24,138, gbagoro yuan 638 site na ọnwa gara aga, yana gbadata yuan 23,887 kwa afọ.
(3) Ọnụ ahịa owu nke mba ụwa rịgoro elu ọhụrụ n'ime ọnwa isii gara aga
N'ọnwa Julaị, ọnụ ahịa owu mba ụwa ka dị n'ụdị 80-85 cents/paụnd. Ọgbaghara ihu igwe na-enwekarị n'ọtụtụ mba ndị na-emepụta owu na mpaghara ugwu, atụmanya na-abawanye ụba maka mbelata mbubata ọhụrụ kwa afọ, na ọnụ ahịa ahịa ọdịnihu ruru otu ugboro na 88.39 cents/paụnd, ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ ọkara afọ dị elu. July ICE owu nkwekọrịta isi nkwekọrịta kwa ọnwa nkezi ọnụahịa mmezi nke 82.95 cents / paụnd, kwa ọnwa ( cents 80.25 / paụnd) gbagoro 2.71 cents, ma ọ bụ 3.4%. Ntụkọ ọnụ ahịa owu na-ebubata nke China FIndexM kwa ọnwa nkezi 94.53 cents/paụnd, gbagoro 0.9 cents site na ọnwa gara aga; Na njedebe nke 96.17 cents / paụnd, elu 1.33 cents site na ọnwa gara aga, 1% tarifu ebelata site na 16,958 yuan / ton, nke dị ala karịa ebe obibi nke 1,040 yuan n'otu oge ahụ. N'ọgwụgwụ ọnwa, n'ihi ọdịda nke ọnụ ahịa owu mba ụwa na-aga n'ihu na-arị elu, owu ụlọ nọgidere na-arụ ọrụ dị elu, na ọdịiche dị n'etiti ọnụ ahịa ime na mpụga gbasaa ọzọ ruo ihe dị ka yuan 1,400.
(4) Ezughị oke iwu akwa na ire oyi
N'ọnwa Julaị, ahịa akwa na-apụ n'oge gara n'ihu, ka ọnụ ahịa owu bilitere, ụlọ ọrụ na-ebuli ọnụ ahịa yarn owu, mana nnabata nke ndị na-emepụta ala adịghị elu, ire yarn ka dị oyi, ngwaahịa ngwaahịa agwụla na-abawanye. Na njedebe nke ọnwa, iwu akwa ụlọ ka mma, yana ohere nke mgbake dị nta. Kpọmkwem, ọnụahịa azụmahịa nke yarn owu dị ọcha KC32S na combed JC40S na njedebe nke 24100 yuan / ton na 27320 yuan / ton, elu 170 yuan na 245 yuan n'otu n'otu site na njedebe nke ọnwa gara aga; Polyester staple fiber na njedebe nke 7,450 yuan / ton, elu 330 yuan site na njedebe nke ọnwa gara aga, viscose staple fiber na njedebe nke 12,600 yuan / ton, gbadaa yuan 300 site na njedebe nke ọnwa gara aga.
2. Nyocha nke ihe na-emetụta mgbanwe ọnụahịa n'ụlọ na ná mba ọzọ
(1) Mwepụta oke ọrụ mbubata owu
Na Julaị 20, National Development and Reform Commission wepụtara ọkwa, iji chebe mkpa owu nke ụlọ ọrụ textiles, ka nyochachara na mkpebi, mwepụta nke oke tarifu owu 2023 na-adịbeghị anya na-abụghị oke mbubata ọnụahịa tarifu (nke a na-akpọkwa ya dị ka "oke mbubata na-ebubata tarifu"). Mwepụta oke ụtụ isi mbubata azụmaahịa na-abụghị nke steeti nke 750,000, na-enweghị oke ụzọ azụmaahịa.
(2) A ga-ahazi ire nke akụkụ nke etiti nchekwa owu n'oge adịghị anya
Na July 18, ndị dị mkpa ngalaba nyere ọkwa, dị ka chọrọ nke mkpa steeti ngalaba, ka mma gboo owu mkpa nke owu spining Enterprises, na-adịbeghị anya nzukọ nke ire ụfọdụ Central idobere owu. Oge: Malite na ngwụcha Julaị 2023, edepụtara ụbọchị ọrụ iwu kwadoro nke obodo ọ bụla maka ọrịre; A na-ahazi ọnụọgụ ahịa nke edepụtara kwa ụbọchị dịka ọnọdụ ahịa si dị; The depụtara ahịa n'ala price kpebisiri ike dị ka ahịa ike, ụkpụrụ, jikọtara anụ ụlọ na mba ọzọ owu ntụpọ ọnụahịa, gbakọọ site anụ ụlọ ahịa owu ntụpọ price index na mba ahịa owu ntụpọ price index dị ka arọ nke 50%, na gbanwee otu ugboro n'izu.
(3) A na-atụ anya na ihu igwe na-adịghị mma ga-eduga n'inweta oke owu ọhụrụ
Na July, India na United States n'otu n'otu chere ihu oghom nsogbu ihu igwe dị ka obodo oké mmiri ozuzo na-adịgide adịgide elu okpomọkụ na oké ọkọchị na Texas, n'etiti nke United States owu na akuku ebe a ịrịba Mbelata, nke ugbu a oké ọkọchị jikọtara na-abịa oké ifufe oge na-eme ka mmepụta Mbelata nchegbu nọgidere na-abawanye, na-eme a ogbo support maka ICE owu. N'ime obere oge, ahịa anụ ụlọ na-enwekwa nchegbu banyere mbelata mmepụta n'ihi oke okpomọkụ na-aga n'ihu na Xinjiang, na nkwekọrịta isi nke Zheng owu karịrị 17,000 yuan / ton, ọnụ ahịa ntụpọ na-abawanye na ọnụahịa ọdịnihu.
(4) Ọchịchọ akwa na-aga n'ihu na-adịghị ike
N'ọnwa Julaị, ahịa ndị dị n'okpuru ala gara n'ihu na-ebelata, ndị na-azụ ahịa owu yarn zoro ezo ngwa ahịa buru ibu, akpụkpọ ụkwụ na-acha ntụ ntụ dị ala, ụlọ ọrụ akwa na-akpachara anya maka ịzụrụ akụrụngwa, ọtụtụ na-echere ahịa ahịa owu na ntinye oke. Njikọ na-agbagharị agbagharị na-eche nsogbu nke mfu na azụ azụ nke ngwaahịa emechara, a na-egbochikwa nnyefe ọnụahịa nke yinye ụlọ ọrụ.
Oge nzipu: Ọgọst-15-2023
